For us to win the Liberty League a few things have to happen specifically RPI cannot do better that .500 in their series against Vassar. Similarly, St L cannot do better than .750 against Clarkson.
The easiest way to understand the standings is to look at total points (my term) i.e. a series against an opponent is assigned 1,000 points. As of Monday April 30, we have 4,250 points and we are done for the year. The percentage of .708 is computed as 4,250 divided by 6 opponents = 708.
RPI has 3,750 and they have one more series against Vassar. RPI could pick up as many as 1,000 points or as low a zero depending on how they do vs. Vassar. St L has 3,500 points and they have one more series against Clarkson. Our best hope is for Vassar to take game one against RPI and have a rain out the balance of the series. That would leave RPI with 3,750. Likewise we need Clarkson to take .750 this weekend (i.e. 3-1 ) against StL.
Bottom line...it will be difficult to finish first in the regular season, but it can happen. Regardless of where the playoffs are held, we will win the playoffs.
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2 comments:
Michael,
Thanks for the update and explaination!
I think the most likely scenario is that we will be travelling to RPI and playing St. Lawrence in 2 weeks. It will be interesting watching the battle for 4th place unfold between Skidmore and Clarkson.
In contacting a parent who I know from one of the schools, Brockport, he said that are best chance, and probably only chance to be in the big tournament, is to win the Liberty League Tournament outright. Because of a big loss to Vassar, losses to Brockport, Ithaca, and even so far, St. Johns, it has made it difficult for the tournament committee types (NCAA)to look past other schools that have won games that were "need" wins. I'm not saying there isn't as chance, I'm just saying that it would have been easier if our overall record was better.
Personally, I think RPI purposefully didn't want to make-up some of those games, and their competition was not as good as ours was all season long. Our kids played some very good teams this year and held their own if not beat some of them. Some of those losses we hurt ourselves, and that is part of baseball.
I really believe that our kids can win the league title. The big key will be unearned runs, no errors. The pitching and hitting is there and will take care of itself. We need to play good solid defense and we should win.
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